ADP Dilemma RD2: Kittle vs Kelce
This is my 2nd series of articles talking about ADP Dilemma's during each round of the draft. This 2nd round dilemma features tight ends George Kittle and Travis Kelce. Their ADP is very similar, 19 for Kelce and 21 for Kittle. It's a really tough one to call. Both tight ends were elite last season as you can see by the comparison below.
Pulled from the 2020 Draft Guide
They averaged the exact same points per game, receptions per game, and their yards per game were nearly identical. Kittle had a more superior target share, but it was a wash due to how often the 49ers ran the football compared to the Chiefs. Kelce actually averaged 1 target more per game. The only reason Kelce finished ahead of Kittle in total points was due to injury. Kittle missed 2 game.
Going into 2020, Kittle could be playing for a new contract. If you've seen any of his workout videos he looks scary. He looks ready to dominate. He was also victim to bad luck in 2019 having a league high 3 touchdowns called back by penalty. He would have finished as the TE1 had those plays counted. And he would have done it in just 14 games. He also has the 4th easiest schedule for tight ends thanks to 4 games against Seattle and Arizona who ranked 1st and 2nd in points allowed to the position. The fact that he is 4 years younger than Kelce should also be factored in.
Kelce on the other hand has the 11th hardest schedule. Also working against Kelce is the fact that Tyreek Hill is healthy. He missed 4 games in 2019, which helped to funnel passes Kelce's direction. Mecole Hardman should also see more looks being this is he 2nd year in the league. Rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire should also see an elite number of targets for the position, further pulling looks away.
Being that they were so close last season and given all the factors favoring Kittle, he is my choice for the first tight end who should be drafted in 2020 and I have no problem taking him in the 2nd round of drafts.