More Winners and Losers From The NFL Draft
MARK ANDREWS: When the Baltimore Ravens traded Hayden Hurst to the Atlanta Falcons, Mark Andrews value went up. When the Ravens didn't draft a Tight End replacement, it stayed up. The main concern from his 2019 campaign was usage. He only played on 41% of the snaps, which is incredibly low. His insane efficiency and target share is what propelled him. While the efficiency will likely come down, his usage is bound to go up considerably based on the number of two tight end sets the Ravens run. A top 5 tight end season is likely to repeat itself.
AUSTIN EKELER: The Chargers did end up drafting a Melvin Gordon replacement, but not until the 4th round. UCLA's Joshua Kelly is an adequate back, but is more of a threat to Justin Jackson that Ekeler. Ekeler is a locked in RB1 in 2020.
MICHAEL THOMAS: Regression and the addition of Emmanuel Sanders will likely give Thomas a ding in year over year stats, but it won't be due to the NFL draft. The only offensive skills position drafted was TE Adam Trautman of Dayton and he likely won't even push Jared Cook for playing time.
CHRIS CARSON: The Seahawks running back core was devastated by injury to end last season. So more so that they had to bring back Marshawn Lynch. And with rumors that Rashaad Penny will start the year on the PUP list would have made you think they would address the position in the 2nd round, but they didn't pull the trigger until the 4th with Miami's DeeJay Dallas who was drafted more as depth until Penny returns, not to encroach on Carson.
JAMES CONNER: Another running back who was in danger of the draft, Conner also dogged a bullet when the Steelers didn't draft a running back until the 4th round with Anthony McFarland out of Maryland. He however profiles more as a third down back than one who could push Conner for playing time.
AARON JONES: This past season Aaron Jones finished as the RB2 in PPR. He scored 315 ppr points. More than 1/3 of those points came by the way of 19 touchdowns scored. Then Matt LaFluer drafted his new Derrick Henry in Boston College's 247 pound bruiser A.J. Dillon. Those touchdowns were already bound to regress, but now with Dillon in the backfield, they will likely regress even further.
MARK INGRAM: Touchdowns and efficiency were Mark's saving grace in 2019, usage was not. In fact, Ingram only played on 45% of Baltimore snaps. Gus Edwards played in 35%. Cut to Baltimore adding Ohio State's 2,000 yard rusher J.K. Dobbins and that snap share could drop even further, likely pushing Mark Ingram to borderline RB2 territory in 2020.
DARREN WALLER: Derek Carr didn't have a lot of weapons to throw to and Waller benefited from that with an impressive 24% target share. That likely will not be the case now that the Raiders added three wide receivers to the team. He already started losing targets to Hunter Renfrow towards the end of last season, and will most definitely lose even more in 2020.
BRONCOS WIDEOUTS: Courtland Sutton had a breakout season in 2019, but those numbers will likely drop off with the addition of 1st rounder Jerry Jeudy and 2nd rounder K.J. Hamler. It hurts those guys as well considering the Broncos are one of the more run balanced teams. The team might be good, but only Drew Lock stands to benefit from all that offensive talent in fantasy.
COWBOYS WIDEOUTS: Similar to Denver, Dallas has weapons galore. Dak Prescott is an easy top 5 quarterback for 2020. While Dallas appears to continue to move towards a more pass-happy team, it's not like they're going to drastically dial up the passing. They were already in the top 10. Amari Cooper's biggest knock is his inconsistency, and that's likely to continue with 1st-rounder CeeDee Lamb taking away targets from his already just average target share of 20%. The same will also happen for Gallup who could see the biggest hit.
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