NEW YORK JETS
Zach Wilson: Wilson is one of the most well prepared players to break out in 2022. If he does not do well it is all on him because the Jets have put the pieces around him to succeed. He already had an improved offensive line and decent weapons in Elijah Moore, Corey Davis, and Michael Carter. Then this offseason, the Jets added possibly the top rookie WR in Garrett Wilson and the top rookie RB in Breece Hall. There was also improvement as the season went on for Wilson in 2021. Before his injury he had an unimpressive 4:9 touchdown to interception ratio. However after he returned from his injury, he posted a 5:2 td:int ratio from weeks 12-18. While still not amazing it is improvement which is all we need to see. With impressive weapons and a decent coaching staff, Wilson is poised to be a solid QB2 in 2022.
Breece Hall is the cream of the crop for the 2022 rookie draft class for fantasy. With a BMI of 30.3, a 40 yard dash time of 4.39s from the combine, a 10% college target share, and high second round draft capital, Hall checks every box that you look for when scouting for the next elite fantasy football running back. His measurables coming out of college are comparable to Jonathan Taylor and Ezekiel Elliott coming out of college. I am not saying he will be as good as those players but the numbers say he has that potential. Michael Carter will still have a role in the receiving game but he doesn't come close to Hall as a prospect and Hall will have a three down role right away. The only concern is how productive the Jets offense can become. Hall should immediately be considered a mid to high end RB2 with RB1 potential and should be drafted as such.
Michael Carter: Sadly, the hopes and dreams of Carter truthers came to a screeching halt with the arrival of Breece Hall to the Jets this offseason. He is now relegated to just a handcuff role with some upside in the receiving game. Even when he was the starter in 2021 he never had a workhorse role. Keep an eye on him on waivers in case Breece Hall is ever injured but do not draft him otherwise.
Garrett Wilson: Wilson is an elite level prospect out of college and could be the most talented receiver from this rookie class. He is an excellent route runner with 4.39 speed in the combine. There is a great deal of target competition on the Jets but we have seen him produce at a high level with other equally good talent around him (Chris Olave, Jameson Willaims, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba were all at Ohio State with Wilson.) Even though Moore and Davis will cap his potential, he should immediately step into the WR1 role for the Jets. Draft him as a high end WR3 with upside.
Elijah Moore: Moore is an admittedly difficult fantasy player to project. Much of his production is dependent on Zach Wilson–as is everyone else. However, with Moore, we have proof that he is a good NFL receiver, whereas Garrett Wilson is unproven. There is also that Moore only played in a handful of games with Zach Wilson as his QB, so 2022 could still be a feeling out process for the young QB and WR. What we know about Moore is that he was the WR4 from weeks 7-14 in 2021. That’s GREAT! Especially for a rookie, but only two games were with Zach Wilson at QB. Stew on this stat though when considering Moore in your drafts, because it illustrates just how good he was last year: The complete list of rookie WRs with an 18% target share and 23+% target rate are Odell Beckham Jr, AJ Green, Justin Jefferson, Mike Evans, Allen Robinson…And Elijah Moore. There’s no denying he has elite upside if the Jets’ offense can get it together.
Corey Davis is a big body target who already has some rapport with Zach Wilson. He was injured last season and has just never quite lived up to the hype he had coming into the league. The Jets did give him a substantial contract so he should have a significant role on the offense but will likely be the third option behind Moore and Wilson. So while he should help the jets considerably on the field from a real world perspective, I have doubts about Zach Wilson’s ability to support 3 viable fantasy assets. It is best to let your league mates deal with Davis or just keep an eye on him on waivers if he is there.
CJ Uzomah: unfortunately for Uzomah, his fantasy value takes a big hit in 2022. He will help his team more for real life than fantasy. While I have high hopes for Zach Wilson to take a step forward, he is still a considerable downgrade from Joe Burrow. On top of that Uzomah was very touchdown dependent in 2021 (was TE19 with only 5 tds.) I cannot see him making a super huge leap in 2022 and is sadly best left on waivers.
The Fantasy Brothers: Ben and Josh are avid fantasy football players that have played together for over 6 years, resulting in a few championships, and a few more “first losers.” Ben and Josh combine their learned knowledge about fantasy to help you own your league mates and avoid those disappointing “first loser” seasons. Their work can be found on Instagram at @fantasybrothers_