Team Preview: Buffalo Bills
Hey everyone. I hope you're enjoying the draft. For those of you with James Robinson or Melvin Gordon on your dynasty rosters, my condolences. Today I'm kicking off a 32-Team series. I will highlight the main players on each team, talk about how they did in 2020, and what I expect in 2021. I will go division by division, and today I'm starting off with the AFC East and the Buffalo Bills.
Buffalo scored the 2nd most points in 2020, while throwing for the 3rd most passing yards on their way to a 13-3 regular season finish. Vegas currently has their Win Total at 10.5 games (T-4th).
Josh Allen: Allen improved on his 2019 QB6 finish to end the year as the QB1 in 2020. He was much more efficient. His 69.2% completion percentage was an 11% increase from the prior year, and his QB rating went from 85.3 to 107.2. Much of that success can be attributed to the addition of WR Stefon Diggs. The biggest difference for Allen however came with the playcalling. Buffalo went from one of the more run-heavy teams to one of the most pass-heavy. This allowed Allen to throw for 4,544 yards and 37 TDS. He also continued to do his damage with his legs, rushing for 421 yards and 8 TDS. Expect much of the same in 2021. His TD rate (TD passes ÷ attempts) of 6.5% can easily be duplicated. He also scored 22.8% of his fantasy points with his legs, which is a bit more sticky year over year. He's a near-lock to finish Top 5 in 2021.
Stefon Diggs: Diggs finally turned into the Elite fantasy WR we all have been waiting for. He just needed the volume....and he got it. His 166 targets lead the NFL. Diggs should be able to have similar 2021 numbers. His TD% also referred to as TD Dependency (% of fantasy points from TDS) of 14.6% ranked 61st among wideouts. Expect another Top 5 finish from Diggs in 2021.
Cole Beasley: The underappreciated slot WR finished as the WR27 in 2020. There is no reason to think he can't come close to similar numbers in 2021. His TD% of 11.6% can easily go up with similar volume.
Bills RBS: It's hard to get very excited about either RB in such a pass-heavy offense with a QB capable of vulturing rushing TDS. This is a backfield I will be looking to avoid in 2021.