Team Preview: Denver Broncos
Moving from the NFC to AFC West, we head to my home state and the Mile-High City as we preview the Denver Broncos.
Denver scored the 5th fewest points in 2020 while throwing for the 7th fewest passing yards. They were 13th in rushing yards on their way to a 5-11 record. Vegas is giving them a Win Total of 7.5 games.
Drew Lock: My dreams were crushed during the NFL Draft when the Broncos passed on Justin Fields. I don't think Drew is the long-term answer. If he is going to prove me wrong, this is the year to do it, because he's loaded with surrounding talent. He should regress in TDs as he only threw a TD on 3.6% of his passes (31st), but I question his ceiling. I like him as a back-end QB2.
Melvin Gordon / Javonte Williams: Outside of James Robinson, no RB lost more value draft night than Melvin Gordon. I liked him as a high-upside RB2, but with the addition of Williams, this turns into a 50/50 timeshare. There is always the chance of one of these backs being injured or Gordon possibly getting traded/cut at some point, which would push the other into that high RB2 range, but without that, I see both returning RB3 value.
Courtland Sutton: Sutton had a great 2019 season, but blew out his knee early last season. If he can return to form, which I think he can, I see him returning to that back-end WR2 range.
Jerry Jeudy: The 1st round pick from Alabama had an underwhelming rookie campaign. He was the WR58 in points per game. I'm willing to give him a pass and a clean slate however based on the fact that he had to endure 4 games with a quarterback combination of Jeff Driskel, Brett Rypien, and rookie WR turned emergency QB Kendall Hinton. He's a WR4 with WR3 upside.
Noah Fant: Fant is one of my favorite TEs going into 2021. He had the same QB woes I just mentioned with Jeudy, and he was still good finishing 11th in points per game. He also did that playing the majority of the season on a high-ankle sprain as well as a rib injury. Fant is an incredible talent who I think can have a Top 5 TE season. I currently like him around the TE6.