Team Preview: Kansas City Chiefs
We wrap up the AFC West on our 32-Team Preview Tour with the 2nd best team from last season, the Kansas City Chiefs.
Kansas City scored the 6th most points in 2020 while throwing for the most passing yards. They were 16th in rushing yards on their way to a 14-2 record. Vegas has the Chiefs winning the most games (12) in their 2021 projected win totals.
Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes is currently the first QB taken off the board at roughly the 20th pick. While I won't argue against him going first at his position, being drafted that early is crazy to me. The position is just so deep. What edge is he really giving you? You can grab Dak Prescott, Lamar Jackson or Justin Herbert all after the Top 50, and that's what I recommend doing because to take him that early you're passing on players like AJ Brown, Darren Waller, Joe Mixon, and Keenan Allen to name a few. Please don't draft Mahomes in 1QB leagues in 2021. Thank you.
Clyde Edwards Helaire: CEH was expected to do amazing things in 2020, but he fell way short. On points per game, he was barely an RB2 even though he ranked 13th in opportunities per game. The simple reason was TDs. He didn't score enough. He only had 5, which ranked 81st among RBs. That number will likely rise. I don't think CEH will ever live up to his rookie hype, but I like him as a mid-range RB2 in 2021.
Tyreek Hill: Hill has finished as a Top 3 WR in 2 of the past 3 seasons. I have him as my WR1 for 2021 based on the uncertainty we have with Davante Adams and Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay. There is some risk of him regressing in TDs. He had 15 receiving TDs, which ranked 2nd in the NFL. However, his 9 targets per game ranked 8th in the league, and that's more than enough for a playmaker like Hill to be an easy Top 5 WR.
Mecole Hardman: Mecole is in line for a bump in usage with the departure of Sammy Watkins, but I don't think it will be that significant. The team still has Demarcus Robinson who will also see a bump. I see his targets going up by maybe 1 or two per game, but he will still be only the 4th best option and likely won't see a target share north of 15%. He's a WR5 / desperate flex option in most leagues.
Travis Kelce: Kelce's current ADP is 9th overall. Pretty crazy when we are talking about not only a TE, but a 31-year-old TE. It's hard to argue it's not justified though. His 21 points per game were 10 points better than the TE3. Let me repeat that...THE TE3!!! For comparison's sake, the QB1 Josh Allen was only 10 ppg better than the QB30 Drew Lock. Alvin Kamara was 10 ppg better than the RB16 David Johnson, and Davante Adams was 10 ppg better than the WR16 Mike Evans. He's truly a difference-maker on rosters and I think his 1st round ADP is justified.