Team Preview: Miami Dolphins
Continuing our series on Team Previews of all 32 Teams, we move to the 2nd place team in the AFC East from 2020 the Miami Dolphins.
Miami scored the 15th most points in 2020, while throwing for the 20th most passing yards, and the 22nd most rushing yards on their way to a 10-6 season. Vegas currently has their Win Total at 9 games (T-7th).
Tua Tagovailoa: Tua received a lot of criticism in 2020, and I was right there with the critiques myself. He was outside of the Top 25 in completion %, quarterback rating, yards per attempt and points per game. Having said all that, I think Tua can be a sneaky late-round QB option in 2021. His touchdown rate of 3.8% was very low, and is bound to positively regress in year two. 21.3% of his points came via rushing (11th among QBs) which is good and likely to stick next year. Add to that the additions of Will Fuller and Top-10 pick WR Jaylen Waddle and he now has a vastly improved receiving core. I don't view him as a QB1, but I think he flirts with being a high-end QB2 in 2021.
Myles Gaskin: Easily one of the big winners of Free Agency and the NFL Draft, Gaskin looks to pickup where he left off in 2020 before injuries hampered what could have been a great sophomore season. Gaskin ranked Top 15 in points per game and opportunities per game while only having a 18.3% TD Dependency, which ranked 77th. I expect a mid-range RB2 season from Gaskin in 2021.
Will Fuller / Devante Parker / Jaylen Waddle: I don't have a lot of optimism for the Dolphins' receiving core in 2021, and see the three of them finishing closely in total points. I like the players, but I don't love the volume. I see them cannibalising each other, with no receiver really taking over a high target share on a team that ranked 18th in pass attempts in 2020. We will be lucky to see any of these WRS having a 20%+ target share. I like Fuller most, but I think at best he's a WR3 this season.
Mike Gesicki: The additions of Will Fuller and Jaylen Waddle are going to hurt Gesicki. I see him as a back-end TE1 / high-end TE2 with a low ceiling.