The Next Fantasy Stud
There is a lot of talk about the two top quarterbacks in the upcoming draft, Joe Burrow and Tua Tugovailoa, and for good reason. They are very good prospects. However, I believe Oregon's Justin Herbert has a great chance to be just as good, if not a better fantasy asset than the former two.
This quarterback class reminds me of the 2018 class where you had Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold as the consensus top two quarterbacks, and Josh Allen was the hated on third option. Every fantasy analyst that had a microphone was ripping the Wyoming quarterback apart. I can't entirely blame them, his accuracy was a big question mark, and quite frankly it still is. It was Allen's raw athleticism though that has been his saving grace in Buffalo. His ability to make plays with his legs and big-time arm combined with a coaching staff that calls plays to his strengths and tries to hide his weaknesses created the number six fantasy quarterback last season.
We saw the same thing two years earlier in Philadelphia. Similar to Allen, Carson Wentz was a small-school quarterback with a good athleticism, who like Allen was able to make plays with his legs and throwing power and nearly turned that into the number one fantasy quarterback in 2017 before being cut short by injury.
I see the exact same type of quarterback in Justin Herbert. The Oregon quarterback is VERY similar to both Allen and Wentz. He is one inch taller at 6'6" and weighs just one pound less at 236 lbs. He also has a big arm and is equally athletic. His 4.68 40-yard dash, 35.5" vertical and 123" broad jump are all above the 85th percentile. Herbert also played in a tougher conference in the Pac12, had a better QBR, completion percentage and yards per attempt than Wentz and Allen. He also comes into the league younger and with more starts under his belt. The only knock compared to the previous two is that he attempted a lot less rushes. My hope is that whoever takes him in the NFL Draft will play to those strengths and use him like we have seen the Bills and Eagles use their signal callers. I think the Chargers would be an ideal landing spot capable of utilizing those strengths. I'm crossing my fingers he lands there.
I currently have Herbert ranked as a mid-third round dynasty pick and would be very happy to get him somewhere in that range.